Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.600230 1.828866 2.078777 2.372261 2.707563 3.078806 3.521204
2024-12-29 1.245945 1.554354 1.921916 2.392487 2.979438 3.688143 4.610094
2025-01-05 1.021969 1.353964 1.773841 2.344281 3.100128 4.068929 5.407914
2025-01-12 0.862952 1.200993 1.649818 2.290020 3.181433 4.381423 6.124615
2025-01-19 0.736657 1.069878 1.531327 2.217926 3.215968 4.617914 6.744550
2025-01-26 0.698623 1.054382 1.566093 2.357049 3.552314 5.297090 8.049384
2025-02-02 0.666271 1.041481 1.600213 2.494481 3.894757 6.012007 9.473798
2025-02-09 0.629306 1.016161 1.611010 2.594305 4.185505 6.671171 10.872771
2025-02-16 0.584316 0.972530 1.587598 2.635418 4.383978 7.199962 12.110289
2025-02-23 0.527624 0.903475 1.515906 2.589163 4.432636 7.487666 12.972900
2025-03-02 0.483208 0.850036 1.463905 2.568987 4.519931 7.842243 13.975681
2025-03-09 0.449884 0.812038 1.433688 2.581861 4.662701 8.299531 15.194597
2025-03-16 0.418336 0.774871 1.402713 2.592637 4.806761 8.779106 16.514762
2025-03-23 0.391335 0.743349 1.378856 2.614002 4.972143 9.312242 17.988047
2025-03-30 0.356979 0.694587 1.318741 2.561330 4.992686 9.578017 18.976199
2025-04-06 0.325502 0.648165 1.258490 2.502001 4.993443 9.803837 19.904027
2025-04-13 0.295003 0.600673 1.191736 2.423177 4.947400 9.932837 20.647118
2025-04-20 0.293541 0.611055 1.238588 2.575288 5.378067 11.039693 23.491929
2025-04-27 0.291435 0.619824 1.282757 2.725556 5.818109 12.203187 26.565918
2025-05-04 0.284920 0.618676 1.306418 2.834707 6.181078 13.238161 29.462363
2025-05-11 0.272627 0.603983 1.300463 2.879662 6.409570 14.007938 31.849241
2025-05-18 0.252823 0.571048 1.252846 2.829085 6.423182 14.314335 33.224626
2025-05-25 0.237083 0.545724 1.219477 2.807023 6.498106 14.760754 34.960651